TRENDS AND WATCHLIST SUMMARY

SEPTEMBER 2003 TRENDS

Deteriorated Situations
Afghanistan, Bolivia, Burundi, Côte d’Ivoire, Kashmir, Iran, Israel/Occupied Territories, Maldives, Nepal, Zimbabwe.

Improved Situations
Bosnia & Herzegovina, Solomon Islands, Sudan.

Unchanged Situations
Algeria, Angola, Central African Republic, Chad, China (internal), Colombia, Comoros Islands, Corsica, Cyprus, DR Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Georgia , Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, India (non-Kashmir), Indonesia, Iraq, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, Kyrgyzstan, Lebanon, Liberia, Macedonia, Mauritania, Moldova, Montenegro, Morocco, Myanmar (Burma), Nagorno-Karabakh, Niger, Nigeria, North Korea, Northern Ireland, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Philippines, Russia (Chechnya), Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Spain (Basque region), Sri Lanka, Swaziland, Syria, Taiwan Strait, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Uzbekistan , Venezuela, Western Sahara, Yemen.

OCTOBER 2003 WATCHLIST

Conflict Risk Alert
Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Iraq, Israel/Occupied Territories, Nepal, North Korea.

Conflict Resolution Opportunity
Sudan.